November is the cleanest demonstration yet that L2 expansion is no longer a single curve.
It’s a set of parallel demand lines moving for different reasons.
The numbers were broad, not concentrated:
• @MetisL2 up 256%
• @DeriveXYZ up 91%
• @Mantle_Official up 64%
• @Scroll_ZKP +52%
• @zksync +49%
• @Starknet +42%
• @base / @LineaBuild / @unichain up +30%
• @Celo +22%
When you classify activity instead of price, the framework becomes obvious:
➣ Throughput chains (@DeriveXYZ , @Mantle_Official ) grow when trading intensity rises.
➣ zkEVM environments (@Scroll_ZKP , @zksync ) grow when dev-side routing expands.
➣ Computation-heavy chains (@Starknet grow when complex execution picks up.
➣ Consumer rails (@base) grow when retail behaviors reappear.
➣ Settlement rail chains (@Celo) grow when stablecoin velocity accelerates.
None of these compete with each other directly.
They’re responding to different forms of demand.
Bridge behavior reinforces that.
Canonical paths retain safety.
Non-canonical paths gain share as users optimize for latency and batching, not chain allegiance.
Routing is becoming an efficiency problem, not a loyalty problem.
Ethereum’s position strengthens under this distribution.
It doesn’t require one rollup to dominate.
It requires all of them to generate proofs, calldata, and settlement load.
A fragmented execution landscape still consolidates into the same trust root.
My Take
The L2 ecosystem has entered the “multi-environment equilibrium.”
Growth comes from specialization, not consolidation.
November was the first month where enough independent vectors moved at once to make the pattern undeniable.

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